Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dube 47.5% vs Hertl 54.5% (-9.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 71.2%
Defensive zone
Hertl 67.7%
Neutral zone
Hertl 63.2%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 63.2%
36.8%
63.2%
Dube
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Dube
Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dube
1
0
Dube
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dube
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
43.5% (62)
54.1% (1,117)
-10.6%
Power Play
66.7% (9)
59.8% (296)
+6.9%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (29)
34.4% (32)
+7.0%
On even strength, Hertl has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Dube is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (56).
Dube shoots left. Hertl is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (883).
Home / Away
Dube
Hertl
Home
40.4% (57)
54.3% (709)
Away
51.2% (43)
55.3% (736)
By Period
Dube
Hertl
P1
37.8%
51.6%
P2
50.0%
53.6%
P3
48.3%
58.6%
Final 5 min
44.4%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dube
54.0%▲
49.5%
45.0%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2023 | 2 | 04:15 | Neutral | Dillon Dube |