Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dube 51.0% vs Hertl 56.8% (-4.4%)
Offensive zone
Dube 53.1%
Defensive zone
Hertl 65.2%
Neutral zone
Hertl 55.4%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 55.8%
44.2%
55.8%
Dube
Hertl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dube
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (31)
57.0% (718)
-8.6%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
64.9% (188)
-2.4%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (10)
44.2% (77)
+15.8%
On penalty kill, Dube has a +15.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Dube is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (36).
Dube shoots left. Hertl is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Home / Away
Dube
Hertl
Home
54.5% (22)
59.2% (463)
Away
51.9% (27)
56.0% (520)
By Period
Dube
Hertl
P1
48.3%
56.3%
P2
50.0%
55.4%
P3
75.0%
60.5%
Final 5 min
62.5%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dube
54.0%▲
49.5%
53.1%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
57.5%