Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +20.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Voronkov wins 35.2% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Voronkov 43.2% vs Carter 60.1% (-20.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Voronkov 89.8%
Defensive zone
Voronkov 55.2%
Neutral zone
Voronkov 81.5%
Result
Dmitri Voronkov favored at 55.2%
55.2%
44.8%
Voronkov
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Voronkov
Carter
Last 5: Voronkov 1-4 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
1
4
Voronkov
Carter
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Voronkov
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
42.0% (559)
65.6% (262)
-23.6%
Power Play
41.9% (93)
68.3% (63)
-26.4%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (5)
50.5% (99)
+9.5%
On power play, Carter has a +26.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Voronkov is 35.2% vs right-shot opponents (193).
Voronkov shoots left. Carter is 63.9% vs left-shot opponents (335).
Home / Away
Voronkov
Carter
Home
40.1% (332)
64.3% (207)
Away
44.3% (325)
60.8% (217)
By Period
Voronkov
Carter
P1
42.3%
65.3%
P2
43.6%
60.1%
P3
40.7%
63.8%
Final 5 min
38.1%
65.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Voronkov
28.0%▼
40.0%
42.2%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
62.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 14:10 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 10:38 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 2 | 03:15 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 2 | 10:02 | Defensive | Dmitri Voronkov |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 1 | 08:00 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |