Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +11.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Voronkov wins 34.3% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Voronkov 42.5% vs Carter 53.2% (-11.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Voronkov 82.3%
Defensive zone
Voronkov 71.8%
Neutral zone
Voronkov 81.2%
Result
Dmitri Voronkov favored at 71.8%
71.8%
28.2%
Voronkov
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Voronkov
Carter
Last 5: Voronkov 1-4 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
1
4
Voronkov
Carter
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Voronkov
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
41.1% (644)
53.3% (8,728)
-12.2%
Power Play
42.5% (120)
57.3% (1,554)
-14.8%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (7)
46.3% (1,087)
+10.8%
On power play, Carter has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Voronkov is 34.3% vs right-shot opponents (233).
Voronkov shoots left. Carter is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,955).
Home / Away
Voronkov
Carter
Home
40.8% (387)
54.7% (5,752)
Away
42.2% (384)
51.6% (5,632)
By Period
Voronkov
Carter
P1
41.7%
53.6%
P2
41.7%
52.8%
P3
41.1%
53.1%
Final 5 min
39.6%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Voronkov
28.0%▼
40.0%
41.5%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 14:10 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 10:38 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 2 | 03:15 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 2 | 10:02 | Defensive | Dmitri Voronkov |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 1 | 08:00 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |