Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Voronkov wins 34.3% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Voronkov 42.5% vs Dowd 50.7% (-9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Voronkov 95.0%
Defensive zone
Voronkov 90.7%
Neutral zone
Voronkov 83.1%
Result
Dmitri Voronkov favored at 89.5%
89.5%
10.5%
Voronkov
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
9
(9 meetings)
0
9
Voronkov
Dowd
Last 7: Voronkov 0-7 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Voronkov
Dowd
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
6
Voronkov
Dowd
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
2
Voronkov
Dowd
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Voronkov
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
41.1% (644)
52.4% (6,009)
-11.3%
Power Play
42.5% (120)
56.1% (164)
-13.6%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (7)
44.1% (1,635)
+13.0%
On power play, Dowd has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Voronkov is 34.3% vs right-shot opponents (233).
Voronkov shoots left. Dowd is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,134).
Home / Away
Voronkov
Dowd
Home
40.8% (387)
51.9% (3,897)
Away
42.2% (384)
49.5% (3,912)
By Period
Voronkov
Dowd
P1
41.7%
51.7%
P2
41.7%
50.4%
P3
41.1%
50.3%
Final 5 min
39.6%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Voronkov
28.0%▼
40.0%
41.5%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2023 | 3 | 18:05 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 3 | 06:56 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 1 | 13:23 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 1 | 09:20 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 3 | 19:05 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 3 | 14:33 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 3 | 08:10 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |