Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Voronkov wins 35.2% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Voronkov 43.2% vs Dowd 48.3% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Voronkov 97.3%
Defensive zone
Dowd 65.6%
Neutral zone
Voronkov 78.4%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Voronkov
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
7
(7 meetings)
0
7
Voronkov
Dowd
Last 7: Voronkov 0-7 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
5
Voronkov
Dowd
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
2
Voronkov
Dowd
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Voronkov
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
42.0% (559)
49.2% (778)
-7.2%
Power Play
41.9% (93)
58.3% (12)
-16.4%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (5)
44.0% (234)
+16.0%
On power play, Dowd has a +16.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Voronkov is 35.2% vs right-shot opponents (193).
Voronkov shoots left. Dowd is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (698).
Home / Away
Voronkov
Dowd
Home
40.1% (332)
46.3% (492)
Away
44.3% (325)
49.8% (532)
By Period
Voronkov
Dowd
P1
42.3%
49.1%
P2
43.6%
48.2%
P3
40.7%
46.9%
Final 5 min
38.1%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Voronkov
28.0%▼
40.0%
42.2%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2023 | 3 | 18:05 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 3 | 06:56 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 1 | 13:23 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 1 | 09:20 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 3 | 19:05 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 3 | 14:33 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 3 | 08:10 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |