Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Voronkov wins 32.3% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Voronkov 46.0% vs Dowd 49.9% (-8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Voronkov 94.9%
Defensive zone
Dowd 86.6%
Neutral zone
Voronkov 62.8%
Result
Dmitri Voronkov favored at 54.1%
54.1%
45.9%
Voronkov
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Voronkov
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Voronkov
Dowd
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Voronkov
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Voronkov
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
39.7% (63)
52.2% (835)
-12.5%
Power Play
45.8% (24)
60.0% (10)
-14.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
44.0% (350)
+6.0%
On power play, Dowd has a +14.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Voronkov is 32.3% vs right-shot opponents (31).
Voronkov shoots left. Dowd is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Home / Away
Voronkov
Dowd
Home
45.8% (48)
51.5% (619)
Away
36.6% (41)
48.1% (576)
By Period
Voronkov
Dowd
P1
43.5%
51.7%
P2
37.5%
51.6%
P3
44.1%
47.0%
Final 5 min
59.1%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Voronkov
28.0%▼
40.0%
41.6%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.9%