Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Voronkov wins 35.2% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Voronkov 43.2% vs Roy 47.2% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Voronkov 81.8%
Defensive zone
Roy 57.9%
Neutral zone
Voronkov 67.0%
Result
Dmitri Voronkov favored at 63.3%
63.3%
36.7%
Voronkov
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Voronkov
Roy
Last 8: Voronkov 2-6 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
1
2
Voronkov
Roy
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
1
2
Voronkov
Roy
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
0
2
Voronkov
Roy
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Voronkov
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
42.0% (559)
47.5% (617)
-5.5%
Power Play
41.9% (93)
39.6% (53)
+2.3%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (5)
46.4% (97)
+13.6%
On penalty kill, Voronkov has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Voronkov is 35.2% vs right-shot opponents (193).
Voronkov shoots left. Roy is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (593).
Home / Away
Voronkov
Roy
Home
40.1% (332)
47.2% (398)
Away
44.3% (325)
46.3% (369)
By Period
Voronkov
Roy
P1
42.3%
48.6%
P2
43.6%
48.8%
P3
40.7%
43.9%
Final 5 min
38.1%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Voronkov
28.0%▼
40.0%
42.2%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2024 | 2 | 03:27 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 3 | 08:32 | Offensive | Dmitri Voronkov |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 2 | 17:21 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 2 | 09:39 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 2 | 09:31 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 2 | 06:04 | Defensive | Dmitri Voronkov |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 2 | 02:00 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 1 | 02:11 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |