Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Voronkov wins 34.3% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Voronkov 42.5% vs Roy 48.4% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Voronkov 83.8%
Defensive zone
Roy 63.6%
Neutral zone
Voronkov 63.2%
Result
Dmitri Voronkov favored at 63.4%
63.4%
36.6%
Voronkov
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Voronkov
Roy
Last 9: Voronkov 3-6 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Voronkov
Roy
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
1
2
Voronkov
Roy
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
0
2
Voronkov
Roy
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Voronkov
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
41.1% (644)
48.7% (3,719)
-7.6%
Power Play
42.5% (120)
49.5% (283)
-7.0%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (7)
45.5% (477)
+11.6%
On penalty kill, Voronkov has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Voronkov is 34.3% vs right-shot opponents (233).
Voronkov shoots left. Roy is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (3,288).
Home / Away
Voronkov
Roy
Home
40.8% (387)
49.5% (2,221)
Away
42.2% (384)
47.3% (2,258)
By Period
Voronkov
Roy
P1
41.7%
50.8%
P2
41.7%
46.3%
P3
41.1%
48.1%
Final 5 min
39.6%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Voronkov
28.0%▼
40.0%
41.5%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 10:16 | Offensive | Dmitri Voronkov |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 2 | 03:27 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 3 | 08:32 | Offensive | Dmitri Voronkov |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 2 | 17:21 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 2 | 09:39 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 2 | 09:31 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 2 | 06:04 | Defensive | Dmitri Voronkov |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 2 | 02:00 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 1 | 02:11 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |