Scouting Report
Noah Cates holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Voronkov on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Voronkov wins 45.0% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Voronkov 43.2% vs Cates 45.8% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cates 58.7%
Defensive zone
Cates 80.9%
Neutral zone
Cates 69.1%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 65.9%
34.1%
65.9%
Voronkov
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Voronkov
Cates
Last 6: Voronkov 5-1 Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Voronkov
2
1
Voronkov
Cates
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Voronkov
1
0
Voronkov
Cates
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Voronkov
2
0
Voronkov
Cates
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Voronkov
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
42.0% (559)
44.3% (271)
-2.3%
Power Play
41.9% (93)
77.8% (18)
-35.9%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (5)
31.7% (41)
+28.3%
On power play, Cates has a +35.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Voronkov is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (464).
Voronkov shoots left. Cates is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (224).
Home / Away
Voronkov
Cates
Home
40.1% (332)
52.0% (148)
Away
44.3% (325)
38.5% (182)
By Period
Voronkov
Cates
P1
42.3%
42.7%
P2
43.6%
42.9%
P3
40.7%
48.5%
Final 5 min
38.1%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Voronkov
28.0%▼
40.0%
42.2%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2024 | 3 | 14:56 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 3 | 14:43 | Neutral | Dmitri Voronkov |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 2 | 09:59 | Offensive | Dmitri Voronkov |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 2 | 07:28 | Neutral | Dmitri Voronkov |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 2 | 07:18 | Defensive | Dmitri Voronkov |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 1 | 18:18 | Offensive | Dmitri Voronkov |