Scouting Report
Noah Cates holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Voronkov wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Voronkov 46.0% vs Cates 45.1% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Voronkov 77.2%
Defensive zone
Cates 80.2%
Neutral zone
Cates 56.1%
Result
Dmitri Voronkov favored at 58.0%
58.0%
42.0%
Voronkov
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Voronkov
Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Voronkov
2
0
Voronkov
Cates
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cates
0
1
Voronkov
Cates
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Voronkov
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
39.7% (63)
46.7% (912)
-7.0%
Power Play
45.8% (24)
33.9% (56)
+11.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
35.0% (137)
+15.0%
On penalty kill, Voronkov has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Voronkov is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (58).
Voronkov shoots left. Cates is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (767).
Home / Away
Voronkov
Cates
Home
45.8% (48)
46.1% (521)
Away
36.6% (41)
43.3% (584)
By Period
Voronkov
Cates
P1
43.5%
48.0%
P2
37.5%
42.3%
P3
44.1%
44.3%
Final 5 min
59.1%
42.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Voronkov
28.0%▼
40.0%
41.6%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 19:53 | Offensive | Dmitri Voronkov |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 19:35 | Offensive | Dmitri Voronkov |