Dominic Toninato vs Frederick Gaudreau
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Dominic Toninato holds a +12.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toninato 51.1% vs Gaudreau 43.9% (+12.1%)
Offensive zone
Toninato 69.4%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 75.0%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 55.3%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 53.6%
46.4%
53.6%
Toninato
Gaudreau
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toninato
Gaudreau
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (31)
45.0% (389)
+9.8%
On even strength, Toninato has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaudreau shoots right. Toninato is 36.4% vs right-shot opponents (11).
Toninato shoots left. Gaudreau is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (427).
Home / Away
Toninato
Gaudreau
Home
71.4% (21)
42.6% (277)
Away
20.0% (10)
42.9% (259)
By Period
Toninato
Gaudreau
P1
50.0%
43.8%
P2
71.4%
44.8%
P3
33.3%
39.2%
Final 5 min
44.4%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toninato
46.0%▼
47.5%
54.8%
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
42.7%