Dominic Toninato vs Frederick Gaudreau
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Frederick Gaudreau holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Toninato wins 41.8% vs right-shot opponents — Gaudreau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toninato 45.1% vs Gaudreau 48.7% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaudreau 55.8%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 72.9%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 63.0%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 63.4%
36.6%
63.4%
Toninato
Gaudreau
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Toninato
Gaudreau
Last 6: Toninato 4-2 Gaudreau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toninato
1
0
Toninato
Gaudreau
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toninato
1
0
Toninato
Gaudreau
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Toninato
Gaudreau
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toninato
Gaudreau
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (769)
48.8% (3,671)
-3.3%
Power Play
47.6% (21)
55.0% (209)
-7.4%
Penalty Kill
26.7% (45)
46.5% (749)
-19.8%
On penalty kill, Gaudreau has a +19.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaudreau shoots right. Toninato is 41.8% vs right-shot opponents (268).
Toninato shoots left. Gaudreau is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,368).
Home / Away
Toninato
Gaudreau
Home
46.3% (404)
49.4% (2,377)
Away
42.9% (431)
48.0% (2,252)
By Period
Toninato
Gaudreau
P1
40.7%
49.8%
P2
45.4%
47.3%
P3
47.3%
49.3%
Final 5 min
41.1%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toninato
42.0%▼
46.5%
44.6%
Gaudreau
42.0%▼
47.5%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2023 | 1 | 00:02 | Neutral | Dominic Toninato |
| Feb 16, 2022 | 3 | 17:50 | Neutral | Dominic Toninato |
| Feb 16, 2022 | 3 | 02:23 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 2 | 14:12 | Defensive | Dominic Toninato |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 2 | 14:05 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 3 | 06:23 | Offensive | Dominic Toninato |