Dominic Toninato vs Frederick Gaudreau
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Frederick Gaudreau holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Toninato wins 42.4% vs right-shot opponents — Gaudreau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toninato 45.4% vs Gaudreau 48.6% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaudreau 52.8%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 71.3%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 60.0%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 60.7%
39.3%
60.7%
Toninato
Gaudreau
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Toninato
Gaudreau
Last 6: Toninato 4-2 Gaudreau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toninato
1
0
Toninato
Gaudreau
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toninato
1
0
Toninato
Gaudreau
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Toninato
Gaudreau
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toninato
Gaudreau
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (778)
48.7% (3,745)
-2.8%
Power Play
47.6% (21)
53.9% (219)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
26.7% (45)
46.6% (789)
-19.9%
On penalty kill, Gaudreau has a +19.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaudreau shoots right. Toninato is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (271).
Toninato shoots left. Gaudreau is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,473).
Home / Away
Toninato
Gaudreau
Home
47.0% (413)
49.2% (2,437)
Away
42.9% (431)
47.8% (2,316)
By Period
Toninato
Gaudreau
P1
40.8%
49.7%
P2
46.3%
47.3%
P3
47.5%
49.1%
Final 5 min
41.5%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toninato
46.0%▼
47.5%
44.9%
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2023 | 1 | 00:02 | Neutral | Dominic Toninato |
| Feb 16, 2022 | 3 | 17:50 | Neutral | Dominic Toninato |
| Feb 16, 2022 | 3 | 02:23 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 2 | 14:12 | Defensive | Dominic Toninato |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 2 | 14:05 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 3 | 06:23 | Offensive | Dominic Toninato |