Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Toninato on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toninato 47.8% vs Eller 51.7% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 65.2%
Defensive zone
Eller 86.1%
Neutral zone
Eller 69.2%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 82.7%
17.3%
82.7%
Toninato
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Toninato
Eller
Last 5: Toninato 5-0 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toninato
4
0
Toninato
Eller
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toninato
1
0
Toninato
Eller
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toninato
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (251)
52.8% (769)
-5.4%
Power Play
50.0% (10)
54.7% (75)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (11)
46.8% (188)
-10.4%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Toninato is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (191).
Toninato shoots left. Eller is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (703).
Home / Away
Toninato
Eller
Home
45.1% (122)
51.3% (513)
Away
48.7% (150)
52.5% (520)
By Period
Toninato
Eller
P1
40.5%
50.3%
P2
50.0%
52.8%
P3
50.0%
51.4%
Final 5 min
43.1%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toninato
46.0%▼
47.5%
47.1%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2019 | 3 | 12:36 | Defensive | Dominic Toninato |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 3 | 05:26 | Defensive | Dominic Toninato |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 3 | 02:34 | Defensive | Dominic Toninato |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 2 | 13:06 | Defensive | Dominic Toninato |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 2 | 10:46 | Neutral | Dominic Toninato |