Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Toninato wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toninato 48.8% vs Eller 52.0% (-4.6%)
Offensive zone
Toninato 66.2%
Defensive zone
Eller 75.7%
Neutral zone
Toninato 51.7%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
Toninato
Eller
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toninato
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (103)
52.8% (742)
-5.2%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
67.6% (34)
+32.4%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
46.2% (156)
-21.2%
On power play, Toninato has a +32.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Toninato is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (76).
Toninato shoots left. Eller is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (599).
Home / Away
Toninato
Eller
Home
47.3% (55)
54.5% (448)
Away
48.1% (54)
50.2% (484)
By Period
Toninato
Eller
P1
55.9%
52.8%
P2
51.6%
50.9%
P3
38.6%
53.4%
Final 5 min
40.9%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toninato
46.0%▼
47.5%
47.7%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
52.3%