Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Toninato wins 43.7% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toninato 44.9% vs Eller 49.5% (-7.1%)
Offensive zone
Toninato 56.1%
Defensive zone
Eller 52.0%
Neutral zone
Eller 54.4%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Toninato
Eller
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toninato
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
43.5% (184)
51.1% (786)
-7.6%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
45.0% (80)
+5.0%
Penalty Kill
29.4% (17)
43.6% (165)
-14.2%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +14.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Toninato is 43.7% vs left-shot opponents (142).
Toninato shoots left. Eller is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (677).
Home / Away
Toninato
Eller
Home
45.6% (114)
51.2% (510)
Away
38.5% (91)
47.8% (521)
By Period
Toninato
Eller
P1
37.3%
50.7%
P2
41.7%
49.0%
P3
48.6%
48.3%
Final 5 min
41.7%
45.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toninato
46.0%▼
47.5%
42.4%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
49.5%