Scouting Report
Ross Colton holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Colton on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Toninato wins 43.7% vs left-shot opponents — Colton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toninato 44.9% vs Colton 51.8% (-9.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toninato 50.5%
Defensive zone
Toninato 64.0%
Neutral zone
Colton 52.2%
Result
Dominic Toninato favored at 54.3%
54.3%
45.7%
Toninato
Colton
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Toninato
Colton
Last 5: Toninato 2-3 Colton
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Toninato
Colton
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Colton
1
2
Toninato
Colton
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toninato
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
43.5% (184)
52.7% (524)
-9.2%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
50.9% (53)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
29.4% (17)
0.0% (4)
+29.4%
On penalty kill, Toninato has a +29.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Toninato is 43.7% vs left-shot opponents (142).
Toninato shoots left. Colton is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (343).
Home / Away
Toninato
Colton
Home
45.6% (114)
52.9% (291)
Away
38.5% (91)
51.4% (290)
By Period
Toninato
Colton
P1
37.3%
50.6%
P2
41.7%
54.4%
P3
48.6%
51.6%
Final 5 min
41.7%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toninato
42.0%▼
46.5%
42.4%
Colton
38.0%▼
41.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 14:57 | Defensive | Dominic Toninato |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 3 | 19:01 | Neutral | Dominic Toninato |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 3 | 09:16 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 3 | 07:25 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 2 | 02:02 | Defensive | Ross Colton |