Dominic Toninato vs Ross Colton
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ross Colton holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Colton on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Toninato wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Colton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toninato 45.1% vs Colton 51.0% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toninato 51.1%
Defensive zone
Toninato 54.7%
Neutral zone
Toninato 52.7%
Result
Dominic Toninato favored at 53.5%
53.5%
46.5%
Toninato
Colton
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Toninato
Colton
Last 5: Toninato 2-3 Colton
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Toninato
Colton
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Colton
1
2
Toninato
Colton
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toninato
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (769)
51.6% (1,788)
-6.1%
Power Play
47.6% (21)
48.4% (159)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
26.7% (45)
34.5% (29)
-7.8%
On penalty kill, Colton has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Toninato is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (567).
Toninato shoots left. Colton is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,283).
Home / Away
Toninato
Colton
Home
46.3% (404)
51.9% (1,004)
Away
42.9% (431)
50.2% (972)
By Period
Toninato
Colton
P1
40.7%
53.3%
P2
45.4%
52.6%
P3
47.3%
47.9%
Final 5 min
41.1%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toninato
42.0%▼
46.5%
44.6%
Colton
38.0%▼
41.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 14:57 | Defensive | Dominic Toninato |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 3 | 19:01 | Neutral | Dominic Toninato |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 3 | 09:16 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 3 | 07:25 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 2 | 02:02 | Defensive | Ross Colton |