Dominic Toninato vs Ryan O'Reilly
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toninato 49.2% vs O'Reilly 54.7% (-9.7%)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 52.6%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 64.5%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 56.4%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 57.8%
42.2%
57.8%
Toninato
O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toninato
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (22)
54.6% (669)
-9.1%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Toninato is 64.3% vs left-shot opponents (14).
Toninato shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (530).
Home / Away
Toninato
O'Reilly
Home
66.7% (12)
56.4% (486)
Away
20.0% (10)
54.0% (441)
By Period
Toninato
O'Reilly
P1
50.0%
55.3%
P2
62.5%
53.4%
P3
25.0%
56.9%
Final 5 min
33.3%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toninato
42.0%▼
46.5%
45.5%
O'Reilly
56.0%▲
54.5%
55.2%