Dominic Toninato vs Ryan O'Reilly
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.8% vs 55.4%). Toninato wins 65.0% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toninato 51.1% vs O'Reilly 54.9% (-0.6%)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 53.5%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 57.8%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 53.5%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 54.9%
45.1%
54.9%
Toninato
O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toninato
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (31)
55.4% (826)
-0.6%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Toninato is 65.0% vs left-shot opponents (20).
Toninato shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (662).
Home / Away
Toninato
O'Reilly
Home
71.4% (21)
55.8% (579)
Away
20.0% (10)
54.9% (597)
By Period
Toninato
O'Reilly
P1
50.0%
57.7%
P2
71.4%
54.8%
P3
33.3%
54.3%
Final 5 min
44.4%
55.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toninato
46.0%▼
47.5%
54.8%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.4%