Scouting Report
Dominic Toninato holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Toninato wins 43.7% vs left-shot opponents — Jost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toninato 44.9% vs Jost 42.2% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toninato 63.3%
Defensive zone
Jost 51.8%
Neutral zone
Jost 61.8%
Result
Tyson Jost favored at 61.8%
38.2%
61.8%
Toninato
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Toninato
Jost
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Toninato
Jost
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toninato
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
43.5% (184)
40.8% (314)
+2.7%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
37.5% (8)
+12.5%
Penalty Kill
29.4% (17)
39.4% (104)
-10.0%
On power play, Toninato has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Toninato is 43.7% vs left-shot opponents (142).
Toninato shoots left. Jost is 43.3% vs left-shot opponents (254).
Home / Away
Toninato
Jost
Home
45.6% (114)
42.8% (264)
Away
38.5% (91)
36.4% (162)
By Period
Toninato
Jost
P1
37.3%
37.4%
P2
41.7%
40.5%
P3
48.6%
43.3%
Final 5 min
41.7%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toninato
46.0%▼
47.5%
42.4%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
40.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2022 | 3 | 17:10 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 1 | 04:23 | Neutral | Dominic Toninato |