Scouting Report
Dominic Toninato holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Toninato wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Jost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toninato 45.4% vs Jost 40.5% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jost 54.4%
Defensive zone
Jost 54.6%
Neutral zone
Jost 51.9%
Result
Tyson Jost favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Toninato
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Toninato
Jost
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Toninato
Jost
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toninato
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (778)
41.0% (2,014)
+4.9%
Power Play
47.6% (21)
34.2% (73)
+13.4%
Penalty Kill
26.7% (45)
35.3% (255)
-8.6%
On power play, Toninato has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Toninato is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (573).
Toninato shoots left. Jost is 40.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,466).
Home / Away
Toninato
Jost
Home
47.0% (413)
41.9% (1,238)
Away
42.9% (431)
38.1% (1,104)
By Period
Toninato
Jost
P1
40.8%
38.5%
P2
46.3%
41.2%
P3
47.5%
40.9%
Final 5 min
41.5%
38.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toninato
46.0%▼
47.5%
44.9%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
40.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2022 | 3 | 17:10 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 1 | 04:23 | Neutral | Dominic Toninato |