Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). O'Connor wins 42.5% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Connor 45.6% vs Monahan 52.4% (-10.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Connor 68.4%
Defensive zone
O'Connor 67.2%
Neutral zone
O'Connor 68.6%
Result
Drew O'Connor favored at 68.0%
68.0%
32.0%
O'Connor
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
O'Connor
Monahan
Last 7: O'Connor 2-5 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
2
O'Connor
Monahan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
2
O'Connor
Monahan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
O'Connor
Monahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Connor
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
42.4% (92)
52.4% (853)
-10.0%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
58.6% (174)
-25.3%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (20)
46.5% (144)
-6.5%
On power play, Monahan has a +25.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. O'Connor is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (73).
O'Connor shoots left. Monahan is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (782).
Home / Away
O'Connor
Monahan
Home
41.8% (67)
53.4% (624)
Away
41.7% (48)
51.7% (547)
By Period
O'Connor
Monahan
P1
42.9%
53.7%
P2
41.9%
52.4%
P3
40.0%
51.6%
Final 5 min
48.4%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Connor
48.0%▲
46.5%
41.7%
Monahan
58.0%▲
53.0%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2024 | 3 | 02:56 | Defensive | Drew O'Connor |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 2 | 16:50 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 2 | 16:27 | Neutral | Drew O'Connor |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 2 | 13:05 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 1 | 17:59 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 1 | 13:24 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |