Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). O'Connor wins 43.2% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Connor 45.5% vs Monahan 51.3% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Connor 58.9%
Defensive zone
O'Connor 56.4%
Neutral zone
O'Connor 55.8%
Result
Drew O'Connor favored at 57.3%
57.3%
42.7%
O'Connor
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
O'Connor
Monahan
Last 9: O'Connor 4-5 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
O'Connor
Monahan
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
2
O'Connor
Monahan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
O'Connor
Monahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Connor
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
42.7% (293)
51.1% (11,356)
-8.4%
Power Play
45.5% (22)
53.7% (2,580)
-8.2%
Penalty Kill
55.3% (38)
46.0% (766)
+9.3%
On penalty kill, O'Connor has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. O'Connor is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (222).
O'Connor shoots left. Monahan is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (9,301).
Home / Away
O'Connor
Monahan
Home
44.9% (196)
52.4% (7,358)
Away
43.3% (157)
50.2% (7,344)
By Period
O'Connor
Monahan
P1
42.2%
50.9%
P2
44.4%
51.7%
P3
46.1%
51.0%
Final 5 min
53.0%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Connor
40.0%▼
46.5%
44.2%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2024 | 3 | 02:56 | Defensive | Drew O'Connor |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 2 | 16:50 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 2 | 16:27 | Neutral | Drew O'Connor |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 2 | 13:05 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 1 | 17:59 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 1 | 13:24 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 1 | 08:16 | Offensive | Drew O'Connor |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 1 | 08:01 | Offensive | Drew O'Connor |