Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.0% vs 50.6%). Look for Lizotte on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Lizotte wins 46.4% vs right-shot opponents — Cozens shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.8% vs Cozens 50.6% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 77.1%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 67.6%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 54.5%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 53.9%
46.1%
53.9%
Lizotte
Cozens
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Lizotte
Cozens
Last 6: Lizotte 3-3 Cozens
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
0
2
Lizotte
Cozens
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
1
0
Lizotte
Cozens
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lizotte
2
1
Lizotte
Cozens
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Cozens
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (299)
51.4% (891)
+2.1%
Power Play
0.0% (4)
50.5% (184)
-50.5%
Penalty Kill
38.6% (44)
42.4% (85)
-3.8%
On power play, Cozens has a +50.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cozens shoots right. Lizotte is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (140).
Lizotte shoots left. Cozens is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (854).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Cozens
Home
52.0% (198)
49.5% (638)
Away
49.7% (149)
51.9% (522)
By Period
Lizotte
Cozens
P1
50.0%
51.9%
P2
50.9%
46.4%
P3
52.2%
54.2%
OT
0.0%
16.7%
Final 5 min
60.9%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.0%
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 2 | 09:28 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 1 | 16:25 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 1 | 09:09 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 1 | 06:08 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Jan 17, 2025 | 3 | 12:59 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |