Scouting Report
Elias Pettersson holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Pettersson on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 45.9% vs Pettersson 50.7% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Pettersson leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Cozens 71.1%
Defensive zone
Cozens 69.3%
Neutral zone
Cozens 69.2%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 70.0%
70.0%
30.0%
Cozens
Pettersson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Cozens
Pettersson
Last 10: Cozens 3-7 Pettersson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Cozens
Pettersson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
1
2
Cozens
Pettersson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pettersson
0
3
Cozens
Pettersson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Pettersson
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (786)
50.4% (698)
-3.7%
Power Play
43.9% (171)
63.2% (57)
-19.3%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (189)
40.9% (44)
+1.4%
On power play, Pettersson has a +19.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pettersson shoots left. Cozens is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Cozens shoots right. Pettersson is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (255).
Home / Away
Cozens
Pettersson
Home
46.2% (567)
50.7% (420)
Away
44.9% (579)
50.9% (379)
By Period
Cozens
Pettersson
P1
46.5%
48.0%
P2
46.5%
47.6%
P3
44.2%
57.5%
OT
22.2%
30.0%
Final 5 min
42.9%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
45.5%
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2024 | 3 | 16:04 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 3 | 09:23 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 3 | 05:07 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 2 | 16:30 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 1 | 03:24 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 2 | 10:29 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 1 | 07:46 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 1 | 06:17 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |