Scouting Report
Dylan Cozens holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Pettersson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 50.6% vs Pettersson 47.7% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Pettersson leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Pettersson 60.7%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 58.9%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 57.7%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 59.4%
40.6%
59.4%
Cozens
Pettersson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Cozens
Pettersson
Last 10: Cozens 3-7 Pettersson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
2
3
Cozens
Pettersson
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
0
3
Cozens
Pettersson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cozens
2
1
Cozens
Pettersson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Pettersson
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (891)
46.3% (790)
+5.1%
Power Play
50.5% (184)
53.1% (147)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (85)
51.9% (27)
-9.5%
On penalty kill, Pettersson has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pettersson shoots left. Cozens is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (854).
Cozens shoots right. Pettersson is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (352).
Home / Away
Cozens
Pettersson
Home
49.5% (638)
48.1% (489)
Away
51.9% (522)
46.9% (475)
By Period
Cozens
Pettersson
P1
51.9%
47.4%
P2
46.4%
48.3%
P3
54.2%
46.6%
OT
16.7%
55.6%
Final 5 min
48.0%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
50.6%
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2025 | 3 | 12:32 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 3 | 08:42 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 1 | 17:17 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 18:37 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 18:27 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 14:05 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 01:00 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 00:52 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 16:57 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 10:13 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 08:06 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |