Scouting Report
Dylan Cozens holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuznetsov on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Cozens wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Kuznetsov shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 46.1% vs Kuznetsov 44.0% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Kuznetsov leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Kuznetsov 72.5%
Defensive zone
Cozens 52.6%
Neutral zone
Kuznetsov 57.5%
Result
Evgeny Kuznetsov favored at 55.4%
44.6%
55.4%
Cozens
Kuznetsov
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Cozens
Kuznetsov
Last 10: Cozens 3-7 Kuznetsov
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
0
2
Cozens
Kuznetsov
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
2
3
Cozens
Kuznetsov
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
1
2
Cozens
Kuznetsov
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Kuznetsov
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (746)
43.3% (980)
+2.3%
Power Play
50.8% (65)
47.0% (115)
+3.8%
Penalty Kill
34.5% (29)
40.8% (71)
-6.3%
On penalty kill, Kuznetsov has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuznetsov shoots left. Cozens is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (599).
Cozens shoots right. Kuznetsov is 42.3% vs right-shot opponents (376).
Home / Away
Cozens
Kuznetsov
Home
43.9% (410)
43.9% (602)
Away
47.2% (430)
43.1% (564)
By Period
Cozens
Kuznetsov
P1
46.4%
43.2%
P2
41.6%
41.5%
P3
49.4%
45.2%
OT
0.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
46.0%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
45.6%
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
43.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2021 | OT | 02:45 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 2 | 01:01 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 1 | 09:04 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 1 | 03:40 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 1 | 00:24 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 8, 2021 | 2 | 07:40 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 8, 2021 | 1 | 18:43 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 8, 2021 | 1 | 16:16 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 8, 2021 | 1 | 16:06 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 8, 2021 | 1 | 10:50 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |