Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.3% vs 47.5%). Look for Cozens on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 48.4% vs Kuznetsov 47.7% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuznetsov 56.8%
Defensive zone
Cozens 63.9%
Neutral zone
Cozens 58.9%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 60.8%
60.8%
39.2%
Cozens
Kuznetsov
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Cozens
Kuznetsov
Last 8: Cozens 5-3 Kuznetsov
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
2
1
Cozens
Kuznetsov
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cozens
3
2
Cozens
Kuznetsov
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Kuznetsov
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (859)
47.7% (927)
+1.7%
Power Play
49.5% (186)
53.5% (71)
-4.0%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (129)
39.4% (71)
+0.1%
On power play, Kuznetsov has a +4.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuznetsov shoots left. Cozens is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (855).
Cozens shoots right. Kuznetsov is 45.0% vs right-shot opponents (340).
Home / Away
Cozens
Kuznetsov
Home
49.0% (600)
45.9% (534)
Away
47.6% (574)
49.2% (535)
By Period
Cozens
Kuznetsov
P1
46.5%
44.8%
P2
52.9%
52.1%
P3
45.2%
44.5%
OT
53.8%
75.0%
Final 5 min
45.1%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
48.3%
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2023 | OT | 03:41 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Mar 15, 2023 | 2 | 02:48 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 3 | 14:44 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 2 | 12:49 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 2 | 05:49 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 2 | 01:18 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 1 | 13:45 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 2 | 13:54 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |