Scouting Report
Dylan Cozens holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Cozens on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 48.4% vs McBain 44.7% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 82.3%
Defensive zone
Cozens 53.6%
Neutral zone
Cozens 62.4%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 76.2%
76.2%
23.8%
Cozens
McBain
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Cozens
McBain
Last 8: Cozens 6-2 McBain
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
6
0
Cozens
McBain
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McBain
0
1
Cozens
McBain
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McBain
0
1
Cozens
McBain
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
McBain
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (859)
45.3% (675)
+4.1%
Power Play
49.5% (186)
50.0% (16)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (129)
37.6% (149)
+1.9%
On even strength, Cozens has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McBain shoots left. Cozens is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (855).
Cozens shoots right. McBain is 42.3% vs right-shot opponents (338).
Home / Away
Cozens
McBain
Home
49.0% (600)
45.5% (437)
Away
47.6% (574)
42.4% (403)
By Period
Cozens
McBain
P1
46.5%
43.5%
P2
52.9%
44.0%
P3
45.2%
45.0%
OT
53.8%
33.3%
Final 5 min
45.1%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
48.3%
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
44.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2022 | 3 | 07:24 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 2 | 06:17 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 1 | 17:33 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 1 | 07:59 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 3 | 08:13 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 2 | 00:52 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 1 | 05:55 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 1 | 00:23 | Neutral | Jack McBain |