Scouting Report
Dylan Cozens holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Cozens on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Cozens wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — McBain shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 52.9% vs McBain 50.9% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 80.0%
Defensive zone
Cozens 52.1%
Neutral zone
Cozens 58.8%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 63.0%
63.0%
37.0%
Cozens
McBain
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Cozens
McBain
Last 7: Cozens 6-1 McBain
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cozens
McBain
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
2
0
Cozens
McBain
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cozens
3
0
Cozens
McBain
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
McBain
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (606)
52.1% (545)
+0.5%
Power Play
58.5% (94)
57.1% (14)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
37.0% (46)
-3.7%
On penalty kill, McBain has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McBain shoots left. Cozens is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (534).
Cozens shoots right. McBain is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (256).
Home / Away
Cozens
McBain
Home
54.1% (375)
52.2% (289)
Away
52.3% (331)
50.0% (316)
By Period
Cozens
McBain
P1
55.8%
52.6%
P2
50.6%
53.6%
P3
53.7%
47.1%
OT
40.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.7%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
53.3%
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2025 | 3 | 00:11 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 2 | 07:49 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 2 | 00:14 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 2 | 00:06 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 1 | 17:33 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |