Dylan Cozens vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Cozens wins 44.8% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 48.4% vs Pageau 56.7% (-8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 85.0%
Defensive zone
Cozens 76.2%
Neutral zone
Cozens 78.1%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 80.2%
80.2%
19.8%
Cozens
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Cozens
Pageau
Last 9: Cozens 2-7 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
2
Cozens
Pageau
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
1
Cozens
Pageau
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
4
Cozens
Pageau
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (859)
58.8% (889)
-9.4%
Power Play
49.5% (186)
58.2% (182)
-8.7%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (129)
48.6% (185)
-9.1%
On even strength, Pageau has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Cozens is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (319).
Cozens shoots right. Pageau is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (376).
Home / Away
Cozens
Pageau
Home
49.0% (600)
59.0% (595)
Away
47.6% (574)
55.7% (661)
By Period
Cozens
Pageau
P1
46.5%
58.9%
P2
52.9%
57.9%
P3
45.2%
55.6%
OT
53.8%
44.4%
Final 5 min
45.1%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
48.3%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
57.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2023 | 3 | 08:34 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 2 | 11:34 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 2 | 03:07 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 1 | 18:33 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 19, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 2 | 13:59 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |