Dylan Cozens vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 52.9% vs Pageau 58.8% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 54.3%
Defensive zone
Pageau 90.5%
Neutral zone
Pageau 77.8%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 66.0%
34.0%
66.0%
Cozens
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Cozens
Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
1
0
Cozens
Pageau
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cozens
1
0
Cozens
Pageau
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (606)
59.1% (687)
-6.5%
Power Play
58.5% (94)
69.4% (36)
-10.9%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
60.1% (213)
-26.8%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +26.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Cozens is 52.3% vs right-shot opponents (172).
Cozens shoots right. Pageau is 57.6% vs right-shot opponents (243).
Home / Away
Cozens
Pageau
Home
54.1% (375)
57.8% (377)
Away
52.3% (331)
61.0% (559)
By Period
Cozens
Pageau
P1
55.8%
54.1%
P2
50.6%
62.1%
P3
53.7%
61.8%
OT
40.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
50.7%
63.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
53.3%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
59.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 12:43 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |