Scouting Report
Joe Veleno holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Cozens wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Veleno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 46.1% vs Veleno 48.6% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 66.6%
Defensive zone
Veleno 50.3%
Neutral zone
Cozens 53.4%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 61.0%
61.0%
39.0%
Cozens
Veleno
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Cozens
Veleno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cozens
Veleno
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
0
1
Cozens
Veleno
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Veleno
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (746)
49.1% (438)
-3.5%
Power Play
50.8% (65)
37.5% (16)
+13.3%
Penalty Kill
34.5% (29)
16.7% (6)
+17.8%
On penalty kill, Cozens has a +17.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Veleno shoots left. Cozens is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (599).
Cozens shoots right. Veleno is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (181).
Home / Away
Cozens
Veleno
Home
43.9% (410)
44.0% (184)
Away
47.2% (430)
51.1% (276)
By Period
Cozens
Veleno
P1
46.4%
50.8%
P2
41.6%
50.4%
P3
49.4%
43.9%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
46.0%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
45.6%
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2022 | 3 | 15:55 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 3 | 05:40 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 3 | 05:24 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |