Scouting Report
Joe Veleno holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Cozens on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 45.9% vs Veleno 49.2% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Cozens leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Veleno 63.3%
Defensive zone
Veleno 62.7%
Neutral zone
Veleno 67.0%
Result
Joe Veleno favored at 65.0%
35.0%
65.0%
Cozens
Veleno
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Cozens
Veleno
Last 10: Cozens 6-4 Veleno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
2
0
Cozens
Veleno
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
2
1
Cozens
Veleno
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Veleno
2
3
Cozens
Veleno
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Veleno
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (786)
48.4% (531)
-1.7%
Power Play
43.9% (171)
56.3% (64)
-12.4%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (189)
44.4% (27)
-2.1%
On power play, Veleno has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Veleno shoots left. Cozens is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Cozens shoots right. Veleno is 48.4% vs right-shot opponents (219).
Home / Away
Cozens
Veleno
Home
46.2% (567)
48.8% (289)
Away
44.9% (579)
49.2% (333)
By Period
Cozens
Veleno
P1
46.5%
46.1%
P2
46.5%
50.9%
P3
44.2%
49.7%
OT
22.2%
66.7%
Final 5 min
42.9%
52.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
45.5%
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2024 | 3 | 13:52 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 3 | 10:32 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 16:31 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 06:43 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1 | 18:11 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1 | 15:15 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1 | 05:26 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |