Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Cozens wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 52.9% vs Toews 60.2% (-8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 80.0%
Defensive zone
Cozens 79.8%
Neutral zone
Cozens 80.0%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 80.0%
80.0%
20.0%
Cozens
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Cozens
Toews
Last 5: Cozens 0-5 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
3
Cozens
Toews
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
1
Cozens
Toews
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
0
1
Cozens
Toews
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (606)
62.4% (692)
-9.8%
Power Play
58.5% (94)
59.3% (135)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
46.9% (32)
-13.6%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Cozens is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (534).
Cozens shoots right. Toews is 71.8% vs right-shot opponents (284).
Home / Away
Cozens
Toews
Home
54.1% (375)
60.9% (435)
Away
52.3% (331)
61.8% (424)
By Period
Cozens
Toews
P1
55.8%
60.2%
P2
50.6%
65.7%
P3
53.7%
58.2%
OT
40.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
50.7%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
53.3%
Toews
62.0%▬
61.5%
61.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 18:09 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 2 | 05:56 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 14:56 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 01:56 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 3 | 08:53 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |