Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on defensive-zone draws (91% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 48.4% vs Toews 57.9% (-9.5%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 21-6 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Cozens 97.2%
Defensive zone
Cozens 91.2%
Neutral zone
Cozens 94.9%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 94.2%
94.2%
5.8%
Cozens
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
21
(27 meetings)
6
21
Cozens
Toews
Last 10: Cozens 1-9 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
3
6
Cozens
Toews
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
1
10
Cozens
Toews
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
2
5
Cozens
Toews
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (4,075)
57.2% (13,047)
-8.3%
Power Play
50.4% (714)
63.3% (3,252)
-12.9%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (439)
53.6% (1,810)
-12.6%
On power play, Toews has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Cozens is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,779).
Cozens shoots right. Toews is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (6,486).
Home / Away
Cozens
Toews
Home
48.2% (2,677)
59.7% (9,192)
Away
48.6% (2,551)
56.1% (8,948)
By Period
Cozens
Toews
P1
49.1%
58.6%
P2
47.7%
57.8%
P3
48.8%
57.3%
OT
34.3%
58.9%
Final 5 min
46.0%
58.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
48.4%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
57.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 18:09 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 2 | 05:56 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 14:56 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 01:56 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 3 | 08:53 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 17, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 2 | 05:34 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 2 | 04:01 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 1 | 10:17 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 3 | 18:23 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 3 | 13:12 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 3 | 09:29 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 2 | 09:06 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 1 | 19:08 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 1 | 15:25 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 3 | 14:22 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 3 | 12:17 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 3 | 11:33 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 3 | 11:21 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 3 | 07:57 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |