Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +14.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 48.4% vs Toews 61.9% (-14.8%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Cozens 88.9%
Defensive zone
Cozens 86.7%
Neutral zone
Cozens 86.7%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 87.6%
87.6%
12.4%
Cozens
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
8
(10 meetings)
2
8
Cozens
Toews
Last 10: Cozens 2-8 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
1
3
Cozens
Toews
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
1
4
Cozens
Toews
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
0
1
Cozens
Toews
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (859)
61.1% (650)
-11.7%
Power Play
49.5% (186)
71.9% (192)
-22.4%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (129)
59.6% (99)
-20.1%
On power play, Toews has a +22.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Cozens is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (855).
Cozens shoots right. Toews is 66.7% vs right-shot opponents (384).
Home / Away
Cozens
Toews
Home
49.0% (600)
64.8% (560)
Away
47.6% (574)
60.6% (381)
By Period
Cozens
Toews
P1
46.5%
62.3%
P2
52.9%
63.9%
P3
45.2%
62.8%
OT
53.8%
70.0%
Final 5 min
45.1%
60.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
48.3%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
63.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 2 | 05:34 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 2 | 04:01 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 1 | 10:17 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 3 | 18:23 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 3 | 13:12 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 3 | 09:29 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 2 | 09:06 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 1 | 19:08 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 1 | 15:25 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |