Scouting Report
Justin Danforth holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Cozens wins 40.9% vs right-shot opponents — Danforth shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 45.9% vs Danforth 48.8% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 51.3%
Defensive zone
Danforth 65.9%
Neutral zone
Danforth 63.7%
Result
Justin Danforth favored at 64.4%
35.6%
64.4%
Cozens
Danforth
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Cozens
Danforth
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
1
0
Cozens
Danforth
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Cozens
Danforth
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Danforth
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (786)
51.2% (281)
-4.5%
Power Play
43.9% (171)
55.6% (9)
-11.7%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (189)
35.8% (67)
+6.5%
On power play, Danforth has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danforth shoots right. Cozens is 40.9% vs right-shot opponents (313).
Cozens shoots right. Danforth is 42.1% vs right-shot opponents (95).
Home / Away
Cozens
Danforth
Home
46.2% (567)
52.0% (196)
Away
44.9% (579)
44.1% (161)
By Period
Cozens
Danforth
P1
46.5%
48.2%
P2
46.5%
52.8%
P3
44.2%
42.2%
OT
22.2%
83.3%
Final 5 min
42.9%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
45.5%
Danforth
54.0%▲
51.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2023 | OT | 00:11 | Neutral | Justin Danforth |
| Dec 30, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 2 | 08:07 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |