Scouting Report
Dylan Cozens holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Cozens on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 50.6% vs Danforth 49.5% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 73.4%
Defensive zone
Danforth 64.4%
Neutral zone
Danforth 54.9%
Result
Justin Danforth favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Cozens
Danforth
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Cozens
Danforth
Last 8: Cozens 6-2 Danforth
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
2
0
Cozens
Danforth
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cozens
Danforth
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cozens
4
1
Cozens
Danforth
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Danforth
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (891)
50.5% (546)
+0.9%
Power Play
50.5% (184)
50.0% (14)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (85)
43.6% (101)
-1.2%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danforth shoots right. Cozens is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (306).
Cozens shoots right. Danforth is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (173).
Home / Away
Cozens
Danforth
Home
49.5% (638)
51.1% (315)
Away
51.9% (522)
48.0% (346)
By Period
Cozens
Danforth
P1
51.9%
49.5%
P2
46.4%
51.4%
P3
54.2%
46.6%
OT
16.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
48.0%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
50.6%
Danforth
54.0%▲
51.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 11:02 | Neutral | Justin Danforth |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 15:24 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 1 | 19:34 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 1 | 11:20 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 1 | 08:43 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 3 | 14:15 | Defensive | Justin Danforth |