Scouting Report
Dylan Cozens holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 52.9% vs Zibanejad 51.6% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 75.2%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 65.9%
Neutral zone
Cozens 51.0%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Cozens
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Cozens
Zibanejad
Last 8: Cozens 5-3 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
2
0
Cozens
Zibanejad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cozens
Zibanejad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Cozens
Zibanejad
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (606)
53.4% (770)
-0.8%
Power Play
58.5% (94)
46.2% (39)
+12.3%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
44.7% (141)
-11.4%
On power play, Cozens has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Cozens is 52.3% vs right-shot opponents (172).
Cozens shoots right. Zibanejad is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (253).
Home / Away
Cozens
Zibanejad
Home
54.1% (375)
49.0% (429)
Away
52.3% (331)
54.1% (521)
By Period
Cozens
Zibanejad
P1
55.8%
53.0%
P2
50.6%
51.1%
P3
53.7%
51.0%
OT
40.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
50.7%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
53.3%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2026 | 1 | 01:33 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 3 | 15:07 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 3 | 12:09 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 3 | 03:44 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 11:23 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 07:24 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 18:30 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |