Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Cozens on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Cozens wins 40.9% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 45.9% vs Zibanejad 49.3% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 56.5%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 56.5%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 65.5%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 60.5%
39.5%
60.5%
Cozens
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Cozens
Zibanejad
Last 9: Cozens 5-4 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
3
1
Cozens
Zibanejad
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
1
0
Cozens
Zibanejad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
3
Cozens
Zibanejad
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (786)
50.9% (913)
-4.2%
Power Play
43.9% (171)
59.0% (39)
-15.1%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (189)
37.5% (160)
+4.8%
On power play, Zibanejad has a +15.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Cozens is 40.9% vs right-shot opponents (313).
Cozens shoots right. Zibanejad is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (275).
Home / Away
Cozens
Zibanejad
Home
46.2% (567)
51.1% (536)
Away
44.9% (579)
47.6% (576)
By Period
Cozens
Zibanejad
P1
46.5%
50.1%
P2
46.5%
47.3%
P3
44.2%
50.7%
OT
22.2%
45.0%
Final 5 min
42.9%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
45.5%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2023 | 3 | 10:02 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 2 | 10:08 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 2 | 06:37 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 1 | 16:37 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 1 | 00:50 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 3 | 15:31 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 3 | 18:25 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 1 | 09:41 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |