Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Cozens wins 44.8% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 48.4% vs Zibanejad 49.5% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Zibanejad leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Cozens 64.1%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 55.1%
Neutral zone
Cozens 52.2%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
Cozens
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Cozens
Zibanejad
Last 10: Cozens 4-6 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Cozens
Zibanejad
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
2
3
Cozens
Zibanejad
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Cozens
Zibanejad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (859)
50.1% (1,051)
-0.7%
Power Play
49.5% (186)
58.3% (120)
-8.8%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (129)
41.9% (227)
-2.4%
On power play, Zibanejad has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Cozens is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (319).
Cozens shoots right. Zibanejad is 50.1% vs right-shot opponents (369).
Home / Away
Cozens
Zibanejad
Home
49.0% (600)
49.0% (681)
Away
47.6% (574)
49.9% (717)
By Period
Cozens
Zibanejad
P1
46.5%
49.9%
P2
52.9%
47.6%
P3
45.2%
51.1%
OT
53.8%
48.3%
Final 5 min
45.1%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
48.3%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2023 | 2 | 10:23 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 10, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Apr 10, 2023 | 1 | 08:32 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 10, 2023 | 1 | 04:08 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 31, 2023 | 3 | 10:09 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 31, 2023 | 2 | 08:25 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 31, 2023 | 1 | 19:16 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 11, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 3 | 13:02 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 13:38 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 01:07 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |