Scouting Report
Nick Suzuki holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Cozens wins 45.2% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 46.1% vs Suzuki 49.6% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 65.3%
Defensive zone
Cozens 59.8%
Neutral zone
Cozens 55.2%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 58.8%
58.8%
41.2%
Cozens
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Cozens
Suzuki
Last 7: Cozens 3-4 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cozens
Suzuki
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
1
0
Cozens
Suzuki
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
3
Cozens
Suzuki
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (746)
50.3% (1,075)
-4.7%
Power Play
50.8% (65)
49.3% (219)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
34.5% (29)
43.1% (116)
-8.6%
On penalty kill, Suzuki has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Cozens is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (241).
Cozens shoots right. Suzuki is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (402).
Home / Away
Cozens
Suzuki
Home
43.9% (410)
53.6% (711)
Away
47.2% (430)
45.5% (699)
By Period
Cozens
Suzuki
P1
46.4%
48.5%
P2
41.6%
51.7%
P3
49.4%
49.0%
OT
0.0%
43.5%
Final 5 min
46.0%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
45.6%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2022 | 2 | 15:18 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Feb 13, 2022 | 1 | 14:08 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 3 | 18:11 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 1 | 12:44 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 1 | 10:51 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 1 | 04:08 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 2 | 19:04 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |