Scouting Report
Nick Suzuki holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Cozens wins 40.9% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 45.9% vs Suzuki 52.4% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 84.9%
Defensive zone
Cozens 85.2%
Neutral zone
Cozens 82.1%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 84.3%
84.3%
15.7%
Cozens
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Cozens
Suzuki
Last 8: Cozens 1-7 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
3
Cozens
Suzuki
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
2
Cozens
Suzuki
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
2
Cozens
Suzuki
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (786)
51.3% (1,096)
-4.6%
Power Play
43.9% (171)
59.9% (157)
-16.0%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (189)
56.9% (58)
-14.6%
On power play, Suzuki has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Cozens is 40.9% vs right-shot opponents (313).
Cozens shoots right. Suzuki is 58.9% vs right-shot opponents (350).
Home / Away
Cozens
Suzuki
Home
46.2% (567)
54.2% (638)
Away
44.9% (579)
51.0% (673)
By Period
Cozens
Suzuki
P1
46.5%
51.5%
P2
46.5%
53.3%
P3
44.2%
52.4%
OT
22.2%
58.3%
Final 5 min
42.9%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
45.5%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2024 | 3 | 18:26 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 21, 2024 | 2 | 19:48 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 21, 2024 | 2 | 16:56 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Feb 21, 2024 | 1 | 04:16 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 21, 2024 | 1 | 04:10 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 2 | 07:16 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 2 | 06:59 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |