Scouting Report
Dylan Cozens holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 53.1% vs Kapanen 48.5% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 51.5%
Defensive zone
Kapanen 54.8%
Neutral zone
Kapanen 54.7%
Result
Oliver Kapanen favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
Cozens
Kapanen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Cozens
Kapanen
Last 5: Cozens 2-3 Kapanen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cozens
Kapanen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
1
0
Cozens
Kapanen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kapanen
0
2
Cozens
Kapanen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Kapanen
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (518)
48.4% (450)
+4.5%
Power Play
59.5% (79)
54.1% (37)
+5.4%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
37.5% (32)
-4.2%
On power play, Cozens has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kapanen shoots right. Cozens is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (162).
Cozens shoots right. Kapanen is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (136).
Home / Away
Cozens
Kapanen
Home
54.1% (331)
48.1% (266)
Away
52.9% (272)
48.2% (253)
By Period
Cozens
Kapanen
P1
56.3%
42.0%
P2
51.0%
52.9%
P3
54.1%
49.4%
OT
25.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
52.5%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
46.0%▼
50.0%
53.6%
Kapanen
58.0%▲
47.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 03:44 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 03:21 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 04:01 | Neutral | Oliver Kapanen |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Oliver Kapanen |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 04:01 | Offensive | Oliver Kapanen |