Scouting Report
Dylan Cozens holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 52.9% vs Kapanen 47.8% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kapanen 50.5%
Defensive zone
Kapanen 57.6%
Neutral zone
Kapanen 54.3%
Result
Oliver Kapanen favored at 53.4%
46.6%
53.4%
Cozens
Kapanen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Cozens
Kapanen
Last 5: Cozens 2-3 Kapanen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cozens
Kapanen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
1
0
Cozens
Kapanen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kapanen
0
2
Cozens
Kapanen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Kapanen
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (606)
47.5% (514)
+5.1%
Power Play
58.5% (94)
55.0% (40)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
39.5% (38)
-6.2%
On penalty kill, Kapanen has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kapanen shoots right. Cozens is 52.3% vs right-shot opponents (172).
Cozens shoots right. Kapanen is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (154).
Home / Away
Cozens
Kapanen
Home
54.1% (375)
47.9% (307)
Away
52.3% (331)
47.0% (285)
By Period
Cozens
Kapanen
P1
55.8%
42.7%
P2
50.6%
51.4%
P3
53.7%
48.4%
OT
40.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
50.7%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
53.3%
Kapanen
48.0%▬
48.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 03:44 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 03:21 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 04:01 | Neutral | Oliver Kapanen |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Oliver Kapanen |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 04:01 | Offensive | Oliver Kapanen |