Scouting Report
Dylan Cozens holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Cozens wins 46.6% vs right-shot opponents — Kapanen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 48.4% vs Kapanen 47.5% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kapanen 54.0%
Defensive zone
Cozens 50.8%
Neutral zone
Kapanen 53.8%
Result
Oliver Kapanen favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Cozens
Kapanen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Cozens
Kapanen
Last 5: Cozens 2-3 Kapanen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cozens
Kapanen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
1
0
Cozens
Kapanen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kapanen
0
2
Cozens
Kapanen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Kapanen
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (4,075)
47.2% (559)
+1.7%
Power Play
50.4% (714)
51.0% (51)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (439)
39.5% (38)
+1.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kapanen shoots right. Cozens is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,449).
Cozens shoots right. Kapanen is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (166).
Home / Away
Cozens
Kapanen
Home
48.2% (2,677)
47.1% (340)
Away
48.6% (2,551)
47.1% (308)
By Period
Cozens
Kapanen
P1
49.1%
42.7%
P2
47.7%
50.2%
P3
48.8%
48.2%
OT
34.3%
25.0%
Final 5 min
46.0%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
48.4%
Kapanen
48.0%▬
48.5%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 03:44 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 03:21 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 04:01 | Neutral | Oliver Kapanen |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Oliver Kapanen |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 04:01 | Offensive | Oliver Kapanen |