Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +14.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Cozens on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Cozens wins 43.9% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 48.3% vs Bergeron 61.3% (-14.7%)
H2H factor
Cozens leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Bergeron 90.3%
Defensive zone
Bergeron 90.0%
Neutral zone
Bergeron 87.7%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 89.7%
10.3%
89.7%
Cozens
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Cozens
Bergeron
Last 10: Cozens 6-4 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Cozens
Bergeron
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
4
2
Cozens
Bergeron
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cozens
2
0
Cozens
Bergeron
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (187)
60.7% (760)
-16.3%
Power Play
85.7% (14)
70.9% (230)
+14.8%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
57.3% (157)
+42.7%
On penalty kill, Cozens has a +42.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Cozens is 43.9% vs right-shot opponents (98).
Cozens shoots right. Bergeron is 61.6% vs right-shot opponents (456).
Home / Away
Cozens
Bergeron
Home
40.2% (87)
64.4% (567)
Away
53.0% (115)
60.2% (580)
By Period
Cozens
Bergeron
P1
48.4%
63.8%
P2
46.2%
58.6%
P3
48.3%
63.9%
Final 5 min
46.0%
63.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
47.5%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
62.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2021 | 3 | 11:46 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| May 1, 2021 | 2 | 12:07 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 3 | 08:15 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 2 | 19:04 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 2 | 18:57 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 2 | 03:34 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 13, 2021 | 1 | 03:56 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 3 | 19:35 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 3 | 19:20 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 3 | 16:10 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 2 | 18:17 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 1 | 18:02 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |