Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +16.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Cozens wins 45.2% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 46.1% vs Bergeron 61.2% (-16.3%)
H2H factor
Bergeron leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Cozens 83.6%
Defensive zone
Cozens 83.5%
Neutral zone
Cozens 83.3%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 83.5%
83.5%
16.5%
Cozens
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Cozens
Bergeron
Last 10: Cozens 3-7 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
1
2
Cozens
Bergeron
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
1
2
Cozens
Bergeron
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
1
3
Cozens
Bergeron
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (746)
63.8% (1,102)
-18.2%
Power Play
50.8% (65)
65.3% (288)
-14.5%
Penalty Kill
34.5% (29)
47.6% (210)
-13.1%
On even strength, Bergeron has a +18.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Cozens is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (241).
Cozens shoots right. Bergeron is 59.1% vs right-shot opponents (474).
Home / Away
Cozens
Bergeron
Home
43.9% (410)
62.5% (882)
Away
47.2% (430)
61.3% (718)
By Period
Cozens
Bergeron
P1
46.4%
62.5%
P2
41.6%
62.7%
P3
49.4%
60.6%
OT
0.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
46.0%
61.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
45.6%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
61.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2022 | 3 | 05:57 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 3 | 05:43 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 3 | 09:44 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 1 | 19:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 1 | 10:33 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 1 | 07:49 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 1 | 00:08 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |