Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +12.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Cozens wins 44.8% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 48.4% vs Bergeron 60.5% (-12.8%)
H2H factor
Bergeron leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Cozens 70.4%
Defensive zone
Cozens 69.0%
Neutral zone
Cozens 68.0%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 69.9%
69.9%
30.1%
Cozens
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
8
(13 meetings)
5
8
Cozens
Bergeron
Last 10: Cozens 4-6 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
4
4
Cozens
Bergeron
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
1
4
Cozens
Bergeron
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (859)
62.5% (1,109)
-13.1%
Power Play
49.5% (186)
62.2% (352)
-12.7%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (129)
53.5% (245)
-14.0%
On penalty kill, Bergeron has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Cozens is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (319).
Cozens shoots right. Bergeron is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (528).
Home / Away
Cozens
Bergeron
Home
49.0% (600)
61.9% (917)
Away
47.6% (574)
60.2% (789)
By Period
Cozens
Bergeron
P1
46.5%
60.8%
P2
52.9%
60.3%
P3
45.2%
63.0%
OT
53.8%
51.5%
Final 5 min
45.1%
58.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
48.3%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
61.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2023 | 3 | 16:09 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 3 | 04:32 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 1 | 06:06 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 1 | 03:57 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 19:58 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 16:16 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 13:07 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 10:18 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 2 | 12:22 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 1 | 11:22 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 1 | 00:39 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 2 | 17:20 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 2 | 12:08 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |